UAB
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 68.2357Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 828 H Ala St 52-42 906 A Navy AME (10- 2, 78.8) 24-38 913 H Akron MIDA ( 5- 7, 62.9) 41-28 920 A Tennessee SEC ( 8- 5, 83.7) 6-24 1004 H Army AME ( 7- 6, 78.4) 13-31 1011 A Fla Atlantic AME ( 4- 8, 70.2) 33-53 1018 H Memphis AME ( 8- 5, 77.7) 31-24 1101 A UConn IND ( 9- 4, 74.4) 19-38 1108 A Rice AME ( 6- 7, 68.8) 17-24 1115 H No Texas AME (12- 2, 82.8) 24-53 1122 H So Florida AME ( 9- 4, 84.7) 18-48 1129 A Tulsa AME ( 4- 8, 67.6) 31-24
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 A Navy 24-38 -14 -16 0.00
913 H Akron 41-28 13 11 + 2.43
920 A Tennessee 6-24 -18 -21 0.00
1004 H Army 13-31 -18 -5 --- -9.11
1011 A Fla Atlantic 33-53 -20 -7 --- -6.74
1018 H Memphis 31-24 7 -4 +++ 11.20
1101 A UConn 19-38 -19 -11 - -2.57
1108 A Rice 17-24 -7 -6 -1.16
1115 H No Texas 24-53 -29 -9 -- -4.74
1122 H So Florida 18-48 -30 -11 - -2.78
1129 A Tulsa 31-24 7 -5 +++ 11.64
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1004 H Army 13-31 -18 -5 --- -9.11 1011 A Fla Atlantic 33-53 -20 -7 --- -6.74 1115 H No Texas 24-53 -29 -9 -- -4.74 1101 A UConn 19-38 -19 -11 - -2.57 1122 H So Florida 18-48 -30 -11 - -2.78 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 H Memphis 31-24 7 -4 +++ 11.20 1129 A Tulsa 31-24 7 -5 +++ 11.64 913 H Akron 41-28 13 11 + 2.43 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Navy (10- 2, 78.8) 24-38 -21.10 30.12 5.26 1.16 -9.18
3 H Akron ( 5- 7, 62.9) 41-28 -36.97 14.25 -5.26 1.16 20.84
3 A Tennessee ( 8- 5, 83.7) 6-24 -16.22 35.00 5.26 1.16 -6.35
3 H Army ( 7- 6, 78.4) 13-31 -21.51 29.71 -5.26 1.16 -15.51
3 A Fla Atlantic ( 4- 8, 70.2) 33-53 -29.66 21.56 5.26 1.16 -14.14
3 H Memphis ( 8- 5, 77.7) 31-24 -22.20 29.02 -5.26 1.16 55.07
3 A UConn ( 9- 4, 74.4) 19-38 -25.49 25.73 5.26 1.16 -11.73
3 A Rice ( 6- 7, 68.8) 17-24 -31.09 20.13 5.26 1.16 -14.97
3 H No Texas (12- 2, 82.8) 24-53 -17.14 34.07 -5.26 1.16 -12.98
3 H So Florida ( 9- 4, 84.7) 18-48 -15.18 36.04 -5.26 1.16 -11.85
3 A Tulsa ( 4- 8, 67.6) 31-24 -32.29 18.93 5.26 1.16 56.08
------
35.27
|
winning pts = 131.9873 losing points = -96.7164
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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